FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

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dirty leeds
Joined: Mon Feb 11, 2008 12:13 pm
Location: London

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by dirty leeds »

Devi wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 12:46 pm
Tell me the draw isn’t rigged without telling me it is

#ARSLIV
#SUNNEW

And Us, away at a lower division club.

Sigh
Also, bit odd that Leeds, Ipswich and Millwall were drawn in consecutive ties - numbers 18, 19 and 20.
"Football is not so important that we can't have tolerance of incorrect evaluations."
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Bobbycollins
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:52 pm
Location: Leeds

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Bobbycollins »

Nice goal by Eastleigh v Reading. Impressed by the way the goalscorer kept looking to ensure he was onside, in much the same way that Bamford doesn't.
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Bobbycollins
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:52 pm
Location: Leeds

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Bobbycollins »

Enjoyable game between Eastleigh and Reading. Quite hard to tell which was the League 1 team until the final 15 minutes when Eastleigh tired but after Reading equalised with 4 minutes to go, Eastleigh won in added time. Easleigh, who are 7 points and 8 places above York looked far better than the latter judged by their performance against Wigan on Friday.
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Phil LUFC
Joined: Tue Feb 12, 2008 12:26 pm
Location: Scunthorpe

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Phil LUFC »

rss1969 wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 1:22 pm
13th consecutive away draw in the FA Cup............an all time record apparently...something like 2500-1

Fucking cursed I tell ya
I make it 8k-1? 1/(2x2x2x2... 13x)
ct_mot
Joined: Tue Oct 26, 2021 7:35 pm
Location: Connecticut, US

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by ct_mot »

The first one is even, you either are at home or you are not so I believe the actual odds are

2^12 to 1
rss1969
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2013 3:52 pm

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by rss1969 »

Phil LUFC wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:51 pm
rss1969 wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 1:22 pm
13th consecutive away draw in the FA Cup............an all time record apparently...something like 2500-1

Fucking cursed I tell ya
I make it 8k-1? 1/(2x2x2x2... 13x)
Whatever the odds, we are fucking cursed!
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Phil LUFC
Joined: Tue Feb 12, 2008 12:26 pm
Location: Scunthorpe

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Phil LUFC »

ct_mot wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 6:20 pm
The first one is even, you either are at home or you are not so I believe the actual odds are

2^12 to 1
The first is 50:50, so 1/2, the 2nd is the same individually so 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 (or 1 in 4)... etc. So 2^13 ?
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the flying pig
Joined: Mon Feb 11, 2008 8:24 am

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by the flying pig »

yeah, has to be 8k to 1.

very much 8,192 rather than 8,191, mind.
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eric olthwaite
Joined: Mon Feb 11, 2008 10:14 pm
Location: Over there, behind that bush

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by eric olthwaite »

Bet the bookies won’t offer 16k to 1 for next year.
Member of a clique
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Phil LUFC
Joined: Tue Feb 12, 2008 12:26 pm
Location: Scunthorpe

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Phil LUFC »

eric olthwaite wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 7:28 pm
Bet the bookies won’t offer 16k to 1 for next year.
:mrgreen: At this point the next one is very much 2-1.
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Quiffy
Joined: Thu May 01, 2008 6:56 pm

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Quiffy »

Phil LUFC wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 11:18 pm
eric olthwaite wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 7:28 pm
Bet the bookies won’t offer 16k to 1 for next year.
:mrgreen: At this point the next one is very much 2-1.
Evens mate. 1/1. But bookies being bookies it'll be 19/20 so they can make their profit.

Who doesn't love pedantry on a bleak icy Monday morning? :basket:
increasing doubt, decreasing hope, even my imaginary friend went and changed his mind.
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Phil LUFC
Joined: Tue Feb 12, 2008 12:26 pm
Location: Scunthorpe

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Phil LUFC »

Quiffy wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 6:49 am
Phil LUFC wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 11:18 pm
eric olthwaite wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 7:28 pm
Bet the bookies won’t offer 16k to 1 for next year.
:mrgreen: At this point the next one is very much 2-1.
Evens mate. 1/1. But bookies being bookies it'll be 19/20 so they can make their profit.

Who doesn't love pedantry on a bleak icy Monday morning? :basket:
Yeah, alright, very much meant it's 50:50, I'd never make it as a bookie :mrgreen: .
ct_mot
Joined: Tue Oct 26, 2021 7:35 pm
Location: Connecticut, US

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by ct_mot »

Phil LUFC wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 6:57 pm
ct_mot wrote:
Sun Dec 03, 2023 6:20 pm
The first one is even, you either are at home or you are not so I believe the actual odds are

2^12 to 1
The first is 50:50, so 1/2, the 2nd is the same individually so 1/2 * 1/2 = 1/4 (or 1 in 4)... etc. So 2^13 ?
Yes you're right. I Screwed up thinking about the even bet as just 1 rather than your stake also going forward onto the other bets

It's 1 + 1 (first part of accumalator), 2 + 2 (second part of accumalator) 4+4, 8+8, 16+16, 32+32, 64+64, 128+128, 256+256, 512+512, 1024+1024, 2048+2048

and finally 4096+4096 (thirteenth part of accumalator). So for your £1 you'd win £8,191.

But as someone has pointed out you aren't getting true odds from a bookie. A reason I know it's really dumb to do parlays etc but wheres the excitement of just picking the winner only :)
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the flying pig
Joined: Mon Feb 11, 2008 8:24 am

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by the flying pig »

when doing back-of-the-envelope calculations i'd tend to assume a bookies' profit margin of 5-10% per bet. but neither better nor worse than that is particularly uncommon.
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AndyPaul
Joined: Tue Feb 12, 2008 9:27 am

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by AndyPaul »

I haven't got a fucking clue what you lot are prattling on about :lol:
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Phil LUFC
Joined: Tue Feb 12, 2008 12:26 pm
Location: Scunthorpe

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Phil LUFC »

AndyPaul wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:38 pm
I haven't got a fucking clue what you lot are prattling on about :lol:
It's simple really: The chances of being drawn away 13x in a row is inexplicably small and has never happend in 151 years of competition history. We're just debating how small.
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Bobbycollins
Joined: Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:52 pm
Location: Leeds

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Bobbycollins »

Phil LUFC wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 2:19 pm
AndyPaul wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:38 pm
I haven't got a fucking clue what you lot are prattling on about :lol:
It's simple really: The chances of being drawn away 13x in a row is inexplicably small and has never happend in 151 years of competition history. We're just debating how small.
You'd think we could be awarded a cup.
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dirty leeds
Joined: Mon Feb 11, 2008 12:13 pm
Location: London

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by dirty leeds »

Bobbycollins wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 3:19 pm
Phil LUFC wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 2:19 pm
AndyPaul wrote:
Mon Dec 04, 2023 12:38 pm
I haven't got a fucking clue what you lot are prattling on about :lol:
It's simple really: The chances of being drawn away 13x in a row is inexplicably small and has never happend in 151 years of competition history. We're just debating how small.
You'd think we could be awarded a cup.
Yes, the F.A. Cup - as in 'Falling Apart'.
"Football is not so important that we can't have tolerance of incorrect evaluations."
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Quiffy
Joined: Thu May 01, 2008 6:56 pm

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Quiffy »

So the Peterborough game is on at 2pm Sunday. Its not slated for telly, man city are on at the same time, but does anyone know how you can watch it?
increasing doubt, decreasing hope, even my imaginary friend went and changed his mind.
Mustafaster
Joined: Mon Feb 11, 2008 10:02 am
Location: WokeHouse.

Re: FA Cup 3rd Round Draw

Post by Mustafaster »

Quiffy wrote:
Mon Jan 01, 2024 11:00 pm
So the Peterborough game is on at 2pm Sunday. Its not slated for telly, man city are on at the same time, but does anyone know how you can watch it?
Probably on Vargoals
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