eric olthwaite wrote:Ballgirl wrote:eric olthwaite wrote:Think I might lob a fiver on Knacker Wells to score first, see where that gets us.
Buy at 18 SMM with Spreadex - we win 6-2 but he scores twice in the second half
I don’t gamble often enough to know what any of that means so I just took 10/1, sorry.
Outcome based on his goal mins, 2nd goal doubled, third trebled. So he scores once in the 18th min you break even. He scores in 18 and 60 mins you make 120x stake. He scores once in 38 mins you make 20x stake. He doesn’t score - you lose 18x stake. Not really a value bet - but rather a mitigation vs disappointment (like your bet).