this article is worth a read and it'll take less than 10 minutes...https://www.twenty3.sport/the-good-the-bad-bielsa-ball-premier-league/
the last bit is worth consideration....
When looking at the average position map, you can understand why Leeds often find themselves in unfavourable situations. The players either side of Kalvin Phillips push on to support Patrick Bamford and it leaves the 25-year-old with a lot to do. He’s the quarterback who also has to ensure that he covers the space when there’s a turnover.
Pressing teams usually have a compact average position map. The middle third is often clogged up and this prevents them from being hit on the break. Leeds don’t have that though, and it’s telling.
Bielsa is stuck between a rock and a hard place. He can’t tweak his system too much because the current tactics hide weaknesses of some players and allows them to show off their strengths. Deploying a sitter alongside Phillips might shore them up defensively, but it could blunt them going forward.
although it's worth a read it fails to consider two crucial variables;
1. that we out run teams. this is primarily to create overloads going forward but it is also important covering back, so the average position maps they refer to in the article aren't the be all and end all. against this we are struggling because premier league teams are far more clinical and fast on the break, so no matter how much we run back we have less time to block the shots coming in.
2. our defence has been depleted by regular injuries. we know from last year that the system has enough players in defensive positions to snuff out chances by winning the 50/50's, but unfortunately now with these better opponents they're more 40/60's, especially as we haven't been able to play our strongest defence. all our existing players will get more used to premier standard attackers and will hopefully start to win more of these duels. also looking at the build up to some of those goals we have enough players back early on but they are not then making the right decisions, because we lack quality and experience. the fact that manU's centre back pairing cost 80 times as much as ours is actually significant.
i think this is why i get narked at the idea of 'naivety'. the system is well thought through and designed to make us score more goals than them, it should work. it is risky, no doubts, it just isn't working perfectly because the team is acclimatising to a better standard of attacker and we are struggling with injuries.
....and whilst i'm typing, i saw an interesting tweet recalling something that daniel farke had said. he claimed that any team that gets promoted and tries to become more defensive in order to stay up is doomed to failure in at least it's second season. this is because they get stuck in a rut and won't be able to become more progressive, whereas any team that continues to attack in it's first season back has maybe a smaller chance of survival in it's first year but a better chance of long term survival, hence his failed approach to norwich's last season that does seem to be paying dividends this season, with them being top by 5 points right now. the trick is to play the same attacking system but with better defensive players, explaining the investments in llorente and koch.
increasing doubt, decreasing hope, even my imaginary friend went and changed his mind.