the flying pig wrote:
Phil LUFC wrote:No, they also have some form of DoF model, they were bought for him because their cheap spreadsheet version of moneyball told them to.
interesting.... i wonder what the barnsleh spreadsheet's version of billy bean's 'on base percentage' killer stat might have been
I know someone who claims to know a bit about it, occasionally wrote stuff for west stand bogs, knows/knew someone at the club through his dad etc. The general gist of it is:
They absorb all sorts of available data, Opta type stuff, pass completion rates, key passes per game, assists, goals, strengths, weaknesses... which ultimately spits out some form of market value. Whenever a player is available at a price they can afford and below their market value (or with the potential to improve) they make their move. They've got stats on 1000s of players right down to regional conference level over 4-5 seasons and rarely sign anyone above a certain age (Matt Mills is the first player they've signed over 25 since Leroy Lita on a free in their last relegation season, which led to this rethink).
They got Mawson on a free transfer and sold him for £5m a year later, based on his stats while on loan at Wycombe (which presumably wasn't enough for Brentford to offer him a new deal). Hourihane cost them about £200k from Plymouth, sold for £3m+; Sam Winnal for very little from Scunny (though sold him for surprisingly little too); Marc Roberts free from Halfax, sold for £3m+... White and Mowatt were part of the next far less successful batch but quite easy to see why given what Mowatt cost them and the heights he hit here under Redders. White was worth a gamble in case his injury problems were over and hadn't destroyed him.
Apparently since the start of 2017 they've sold 4 club captains and the only 20+ goal a season striker they've had for many years without really replacing any of them, easy to see why PH had reached his limit. Says a lot really when a manager can win 1 in 16 and still have done enough to earn a new contract/still be considered the right man for the job. The off field shit with the dying owner, protracted takeover and breakdown of this recruitment system presumably the main reasons they've gone down hill.